This weekend, we have a PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week and I can’t wait to chase these huge prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k goes to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier just tournament for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I won my very first chair into it a week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers therefore be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at that $50k decoration, and then I will likely take a couple shots in the Qualifier. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for the money game lineup this week in his -800 betting line. I will take that free square foot and proceed. He should dominate this battle and he can complete it on the feet or the ground. I expect him to score over 100-points and I am totally fine with paying 9.6k for that. When I’m making lineups, I would like to try to have at least 10x from each fighter. With Jones being 9.6k, I need at least 96 points from him. That is the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round battle and I did not think Jones could find a finish then maybe he just scores 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t need that. Nonetheless, this is a potential 5-round battle, and I really do expect Jones to control, so that cost is fine with me. For GPPs, I think you can get from Jon Jones because he’ll be very highly owned. If he is 50% owned by the field and he only scores 85-90 DK points, then will kill half the area since that would not be sufficient points to place him on that $50k lineup.
GPP play of this week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it’ll be from his wrestling. He’s one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and today he is finally getting an opportunity in the UFC after controlling every business he has been in. He will not wish to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, so I expect him to shoot takedowns straight away and string wrestle until he receives them. When he receives high control there is not likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the floor and he must take a beating as long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, every takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points for a significant strike. A man like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns in 15-minutes and that’s what makes him a fantastic play if he can come up with the success.
Underdog play of the week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This is not the Diego Sanchez of older, but I believe he still has what it takes to conquer Mickey Gall. On the toes, the quantity alone from Sanchez should win it for him there so long as he does not get knocked out. The chin of Diego is what I worry about most these days, but Gall is not much of a striker and that I really don’t see him becoming knockout. In addition, I don’t understand that Gall can get takedowns, and that I think Sanchez are the more likely guy to be on top if the fight hits the ground. There is A entry the best chance at a win of Gall here and Sanchez hasn’t been submitted. We must have underdogs in our DK lineups and also at $7.1k Diego allows us to pay up for those guys like Jon Jones or even Ben Askren. If he could grind out a decision triumph here I think he can get 10x that wages and when we could get a win from him at the cheap salary, I think we will probably be in line for this $50k win when we hit our other five spots.
Fade of this week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might wind up using each fighter because I’m making so many lineups this week, but Anthony Smith is the guy I need the very least of. I attempt to get a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I do not believe there are any need to fade favorites this week. Rather, I am going with the 1 fighter I do not think stands a chance. I believe that a fluke KO is the only route to success for Smith and he really doesn’t have the 1 punch/kick power it would take to pull that off. I’d be amazed when Smith pulled off the upset this week and when I was making 20 or less lineups, he’d be an easy fade.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I’m 58-37 for +177.62un (+$17,762) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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